FRANKLIN CO. - March Madness doesn't just apply to sports! Two seasons will battle it out this weekend, and Southwest Virginia has courtside seats.
Now, I'm mainly talking about the higher elevations of course - the Greenbrier Valley, Alleghany Highlands, and the higher mountains of the New River Valley. But depending on how the system comes together this weekend (timing, track, and strength) there could even be flurries in and around Roanoke by Sunday.
This is nothing new. In fact, no matter how warm March is, I always tell folks to watch late March and early April. Not for anything big, But for any leftovers of Winter. They usually find a way to visit our part of Virginia before mid-April.
In this case, we'll see the jet stream dive south and our temps get progressively colder Friday into Saturday and Sunday.
Meanwhile, energy within the jet stream will try to develop a coastal low by Sunday morning off of the Carolina Coast.
If we were in the middle of January, we'd be talking Winter Storm headlines. But the days are longer now, and the sun angle is more direct. The ground is very warm.
Models differ right now on the strength of the system this weekend, ranging from just a little moisture mainly in West Virginia to a more developed low pressure system trying to ride up the coast.
During this time of the year, it really doesn't matter given ground temps.
The mountains of West Virginia and the Highlands of VA stand a chance of seeing some very very light accumulations of wet snow Saturday night into Sunday. I'm talking an inch or less on the grass in the Highlands. Just flakes falling, but not really sticking elsewhere.
The ridge tops of the Roanoke Valley and the NRV could also see some snow.
The rest of us in the Valleys and Foothills will see some light rain with maybe some wet snowflakes mixed in, but no accumulations. Southside would stay rain.
It would have to get way colder and the system would have to be much stronger than models show right now for anything more than that.