Very heavy rain will continue to move northeast into the area into early Sunday.
All of the rain is being brough north as moisture from the Gulf of Mexico is brought up ahead of a stalled front to our west in waves. The subtropical air that is moving in is capable of holding a lot of water, comparable to air mass you would see in the Spring.
We also have a powerful low level jet combining with upper level energy to create lift over our area, generating very heavy rain at times.
While eastern parts of the area need rainfall, due to a long-tern dry spell this Winter, the western half is saturated. Numerous reports of flooding, mudslides, and rockslides are coming in from far SW Viriginia into West Virginia, Tennessee, and Kentucky. The ground there was already saturated from recent rain and snow and flooding started with only 1-2" of rain.
Back here at home, as heavier rain falls into Sunday, the ground will not be able to hold all of the water. Expect flooding of low spots and rises in creeks and streams. A Flood Watch is in effect for all areas except Lynchburg and Southside through 7 a.m. Monday.
The heaviest rain will fall into Sunday, then become more scattered Sunday afternoon with thudnerstorms possible. Temps will rise well into the 60s to near 70!
Monday will be cooler with a few showers and drizzle developing. We may end this with a little freezing drizzle on Tuesday. Stay tuned.
In the meantime, remember, never drive across a flooded roadway.
The way things are looking, there will be several by Sunday morning.